Jerry, I don't mind you promoting your blog, but a post needs to have something more than a link in it, or I become hesitant to click it
Fair enough. In that G+ posting I linked to the NEJM (New England Journal of Medicine) article in which some anti-gun advocates were funded by an unknown donor to do a poll. Here are my full comments:
Jerry L KrepsMay 4, 2013 (edited) - Public
During the gun debate in the Senate a poll was released claiming that 90% of all Americans were in favor of background checks. It was actually 89.9% of the group that didn't own guns. The exact questions given to the 2,703 that were selected "after a pilot study" were not made available but a footnote stated that they were "informed" that most background checks take just a few minutes BUT that in some cases it could take more than the 3 day maximum that the current law allows. Reports of the study did not mention that only 69% (1,865) responded to the telephone poll. The authors did reveal that they didn't make any money on the poll, even though they didn't reveal the identity of the donor who funded the poll. Polls usually give results the people who pay for them want, or they never see the light of day. This poll was dressed up in the usual statistical terms, chi-squared statements, etc... It's a statistical analysis, right? So it has to be the truth.
As I've pointed out before, it is also interesting that those who made the telephone calls and analyzed the results are not disinterested 3rd parties. They have a horse in this race and they are whipping it as hard as they can. They are Colleen L. Barry, Ph.D., M.P.P., Emma E. McGinty, M.S., Jon S. Vernick, J.D., M.P.H., and Daniel W. Webster, Sc.D., M.P.H. Google them and see what they've said before on this issue. Books, articles, papers ... all pushing for more than just background checks or government databases. And they have the audacity to complain that when the NRA or the GOA publish data which contradicts their polls that those organizations are biased, bought off, corporate tools, etc...
That NEJM poll has been widely and repeatedly quoted in the MNM as "proof" that Senators voting against the bill were "out of touch" with their constituents. The blatant biases are also never mentioned in the MNM echo chamber. Now, the polling technique is being used yet again in an attempt to intimidate Senators who voted against the bill by claiming that their constituents were mad at them for not voting for the bill. GMA (ABC) gave a report about this "wide spread constituent protest" and in an inadvertent camera sweep of the "crowd" doing the protesting we could plainly see that the "crowd" consisted of half a dozen people standing on the sidewalk outside the district office of one Senator. It remains to be seen if the the Senators have the courage to stick to their principles and the wishes of the real majority of their constituents.
Another poll was taken a month ago by the PoliceOne website (
http://ddq74coujkv1i.cloudfront.net/p1_gunsurveysummary_2013.pdf), which is devoted to active police officers around the country:
More than 15,000 officers completed the survey, which was promoted by PoliceOne exclusively to its 400,000 registered members, comprised of verified law enforcement professionals. Only current, former or retired law enforcement personnel were eligible to participate in the survey. The survey sample size was broadly distributed by geography and rank in proportion to the U.S. law enforcement community at large. Respondents comprised a variety of ranks from departments of all sizes, with the majority representing departments of greater than 500 officers. Of those that took the survey, 80 percent were current law enforcement officers and 20 percent were former/retired law enforcement.
FBI statistics state that in 2009 there were 706,886 officers enforcing the law in the USA.
http://www2.fbi.gov/ucr/cius2009/data/table_74.html So, the survey isn't a microscopic sample of hundreds of millions of people, it sampled 2.1% of the entire police force in this country. Had the NEJM poll sampled a proportional number they would have phoned 14 million people.
The survey taken by PoliceOne wasn't preceded by a "pilot study", its questions were revealed when the results were revealed, they didn't "push" the questions, and they didn't do any statistical massaging of the results. The survey wasn't funded by a secret donor, they funded it themselves.
That survey also tells you what the vast majority of police officers think about the issues surrounding the gun control debate. Over 60% of the respondents had a rank above "officer".(Q3)
91.3% support the concealed carry of firearms by civilians who have not been
convicted of a felony and/or not been deemed psychologically/medically incapable. (Q10)
91.4% believe that use of a firearm while perpetrating a crime should result in stiff, mandatory sentences with no plea bargains. (Q13)
70% do not support the concept of a national database tracking all legal gun sales.(Q11)
79.7% do not think that a federal law prohibiting private, non-dealer transfers of firearms between individuals would reduce violent crime(Q7)
71% do not think a federal ban on manufacture and sale of some semi-automatic
firearms, termed by some as "assault weapons," would have any effect on reducing violent crime.